The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in Africa, Europe and the Middle East: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic précis methods
Aim. Evidence-backed execution summary for The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in Africa, Europe and the Middle East: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic précis methods from The dominant Anopheles vectors of human malaria in Africa, Europe and the Middle East: occurrence data, distribution maps and bionomic précis.
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This experiment, in seven questions
Jump straight to the part of the recipe you need. Data and provenance labels stay close to the action they support.
Shopping and prep list
What do I need before I start?
human
Subject model for the experiment.
- Use
- confirm full cohort details in the source paper
Boosted Regression Trees, climatic/environmental variables and model protocol
reagent used in the protocol.
- Use
- Following the same protocol described in Sinka et al. [ ], numerous model iterations were run to assess the 'optimal' mapping outputs, including assessing the buffer size surrounding the EO range from where pseudo-absences would be drawn, the number of pseudo-absences to apply to the model and the effects of includi...
Mapping trials
reagent used in the protocol.
- Use
- The optimal buffer width for the African DVS was judged to be 1500 km, producing the lowest deviance value for five out of the seven species. For the European and Middle Eastern species maps, all buffer widths other than 1000 km had high deviance values for all species. The 1000 km buffer therefore was judged to per...
Predictive maps
reagent used in the protocol.
- Use
- Map details: The predicted distribution of An. gambiae mapped using hybrid data (1443 occurrence data plus 500 pseudo-presences weighted at half that of the occurrence data and randomly selected from within the Expert Opinion (EO) range). Pseudo-absences (14430) were generated at a ratio of 10:1 absence to presence...
Anopheles labranchiae
reagent used in the protocol.
- Use
- As with An. atroparvus, An. labranchiae has been found to be refractory to exotic strains of P. falciparum, with de Zulueta et al. [ ] failing to infect An. labranchiae, albeit a small sample, with a Kenyan strain of P. falciparum. However, Toty et al. [ ] reported historical evidence of naturally infected An....
Anopheles messeae
There is some evidence to suggest that, along with An. atroparvus, An. messeae may also be refractory (or essentially refractory) to tropical P. falciparum strains. In their study, testing the susceptibility of Russian anophelines to imported P. falciparum, Daškova & Rasnicyn [ ] were unable to infect An. mes...
- Use
- There is some evidence to suggest that, along with An. atroparvus, An. messeae may also be refractory (or essentially refractory) to tropical P. falciparum strains. In their study, testing the susceptibility of Russian anophelines to imported P. falciparum, Daškova & Rasnicyn [ ] were unable to infect An. mes...
List of abbreviations
AUC: Area Under the operating characteristic Curve; AVHRR: Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer; BRT: Boosted Regression Trees; COI: (mitochondrial) Cytochrome Oxidase 1; DEM: Digital Elevation Model; DVS: Dominant Vector Species; EO: Expert Opinion; EVI: Enhanced Vegetation Index; GIS: Geographic Information Sy...
- Use
- AUC: Area Under the operating characteristic Curve; AVHRR: Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer; BRT: Boosted Regression Trees; COI: (mitochondrial) Cytochrome Oxidase 1; DEM: Digital Elevation Model; DVS: Dominant Vector Species; EO: Expert Opinion; EVI: Enhanced Vegetation Index; GIS: Geographic Information Sy...
Boosted Regression Trees, climatic/environmental variables and model protocol
Software used for acquisition, scoring, statistics, or reporting.
- Use
- The BRT method [, ] was chosen to generate the predictive maps of each DVS distribution. In a review comparing 16 species modelling methodologies, BRT consistently performed well [ ] and benefits from being flexible (accommodating both categorical and continuous data), using freely available, reliable and well docu...
Before you run
What should be confirmed before execution?
First confirmation
Equipment is listed but no product mappings are linked.
Confirm before execution
This page is backed by a publishable Replication Data Ledger package with zero critical source-verification issues.
Confirm before execution
Open the source paper before finalizing run-specific details.
Procurement checkpoint
Use source-stated vendors where present. Treat mapped products as sourcing options unless the page marks an exact source match.
Open quote workflowStep-by-step procedure
What do I do, in order?
Methods
The exclusive (Exc.) column counts those species identified in all four reviews. The inclusive (Inc.) column counts those species identified by any of the four authors and are the candidate DVS considered for mapping. The numbers given in each of the review author columns record in which Macdonald's malaria epidemiology zones the species can be found: 4 - North Eurasian; 5 - Mediterranean; 6 - Afro-Arabian 320. The final DVS species listed were defined during two separate Technical Advisory Group (TAG) meetings. EO = Expert Opinion.
Boosted Regression Trees, climatic/environmental variables and model protocol
The BRT model was provided with a suite of open access, environmental and climatic variable 5 × 5 km resolution grids, relevant to the ecology and bionomics of the DVS in the African, European and Middle Eastern regions. Each grid has undergone a series of processing steps to ensure all land and sea pixels exactly correspond, and, using nearest neighbour interpolation, to fill in any small gaps in the data due to, for example, cloud cover (see Sinka et al. [ ]). Where the remotely sensed imagery was available as multi-temporal data, temporal Fourier analysis (TFA) was applied to ordinate the data, generating seven products for each temporal variable: the overall mean, maximum and minimum of the data cycles; the amplitude (maximum variation of the cycle around the mean) and the phase (the timing of the cycle) of the annual and bi-annual cycles [ ]. The environmental/climatic varia...
Predictive maps
Precipitation, in one form or another, is identified repeatedly in previous models (where these data are presented, Table ) as an influential variable in predicting the range of An. gambiae. Within the top five contributing covariates from the suite applied to the BRT model, precipitation was identified three times, with mean precipitation as the highest contributor with a relative influence of over 37%. Maximum precipitation was placed second (19.42%) with the amplitude of the bi-annual cycle of precipitation ranked forth (8.85%). In common with the Maxent niche model presented by Moffett et al. [ ], elevation (altitude) and minimum land surface temperature were also identified by the BRT model within the top five influencing climatic/environmental variables (relative influence of 12.36% and 5.68%, respectively).
Anopheles melas
Anopheles melas is commonly associated with brackish water and can utilise saline environments that other species, for example, An. gambiae, cannot tolerate [, ], yet does not appear to require brackish water for larval stage development [ - ]. It is generally restricted to coastal areas [ - ] but has been found up to 150 km inland along the Gambia River, where salt water can intrude great distances (up to 180 km) upriver [,, ]. Unlike other African DVS, the density fluctuations of An. melas are closely associated with tidal changes rather than seasons, for example, Gelfand [ ] identified a peak in adult numbers 11 days after spring tides. The larvae of this species are associated with salt marsh grass ( Paspalum spp.) and mangroves, but only trees of the genus Avicenna, which include white, grey and black mangrove, and not those from the genus Rhizophora ('true' or red mangrove...
Anopheles labranchiae
Despite similarity in larval site characteristics, An. labranchiae and An. atroparvus do not, or only have limited, overlap in their distributions [ ]. This lack of sympatry may be simply a factor of temperature, with An. labranchiae making use of warmer waters than typical of An. atroparvus [, ]. However, when Capinha et al. [ ] modelled the habitat suitability of An. atroparvus across Portugal, they concluded that the most suitable locations include drier areas with higher temperatures (i.e. conditions where An. labranchiae typically dominate), whereas wetter areas with milder temperatures, where An. atroparvus are mostly found, were unsuitable. They concluded that An. atroparvus is not found in many other 'suitable' Mediterranean areas due to competitive exclusion. Conversely, de Zulueta [ ] suggested that the absence of An. atroparvus in Sardinia allowed the wide distribution of...
List of abbreviations
AUC: Area Under the operating characteristic Curve; AVHRR: Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer; BRT: Boosted Regression Trees; COI: (mitochondrial) Cytochrome Oxidase 1; DEM: Digital Elevation Model; DVS: Dominant Vector Species; EO: Expert Opinion; EVI: Enhanced Vegetation Index; GIS: Geographic Information System; IRS: Insecticide Residual Spraying; ITNs: Insecticide Treated Bednets; ITS2: Internal Transcribed Spacer 2; IVCC: Innovative Vector Control Consortium; LST: Land Surface Temperature; MAP: Malaria Atlas Project; MIR: Middle Infrared Radiation; MODIS: MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer; NDVI: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index; PCR: Polymerase Chain Reaction; TAG: Technical Advisory Group; TFA: Temporal Fourier Analysis; WRBU: Walter Reed Biosystematics Unit.
Acknowledgements
We wish to thank Rosalind Howes, Edward Haynes, Philip Mbithi, Owen Yang, Carolynn Tago, and Elisabeth Thiveyrat for primary data abstraction. We also thank the Technical Advisory Group for extended support over the duration of the project (in addition to co-authors Michael Bangs, Sylvie Manguin, Maureen Coetzee, Ralph Harbach, Janet Hemingway and Charles M. Mbogo, these include, Theeraphap Chareonviriyaphap and Yasmin Rubio-Palis). MES is funded by a project grant from the Wellcome Trust (#083534) to SIH. SIH is funded by a Senior Research Fellowship from the Wellcome Trust (#079091) which also supports CWK and PWG. APP and WHT are funded by a Wellcome Trust Principal Research Fellowship (#079080) to Professor Robert Snow. This work forms part of the output of the Malaria Atlas Project (MAP, http://www.map.ox.ac.uk ), principally funded by the Wellcome Trust, U.K.
Measurement outputs
What raw and processed outputs should exist?
The exclusive (Exc.) column counts those species identified in all four reviews. The inclusive (Inc.) column counts those species identified by any of the four authors and are t...
- Raw artifact
- Per-sample or per-animal endpoint measurements collected during the experiment
- Processed artifact
- Structured table with cleaned measurements ready for comparison
- Reported as
- Summary statistics and between-group or across-timepoint comparisons
The BRT model was provided with a suite of open access, environmental and climatic variable 5 × 5 km resolution grids, relevant to the ecology and bionomics of the DVS in t...
- Raw artifact
- Per-sample or per-animal endpoint measurements collected during the experiment
- Processed artifact
- Structured table with cleaned measurements ready for comparison
- Reported as
- Summary statistics and between-group or across-timepoint comparisons
Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'.
- Raw artifact
- Per-sample or per-animal endpoint measurements collected during the experiment
- Processed artifact
- Structured table with cleaned measurements ready for comparison
- Reported as
- Summary statistics and between-group or across-timepoint comparisons
Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'. Due to a lack of contemporary data for these species, searches were supplemented with pre...
- Raw artifact
- Per-sample or per-animal endpoint measurements collected during the experiment
- Processed artifact
- Structured table with cleaned measurements ready for comparison
- Reported as
- Summary statistics and between-group or across-timepoint comparisons
Analysis plan
How should the outputs become interpretable results?
Acquisition
Collect raw experimental outputs with enough metadata to preserve sample identity, condition, and timing.
inferred from protocolPreprocessing / cleaning
The BRT method [, ] was chosen to generate the predictive maps of each DVS distribution.
from paperScoring or quantification
Quantify the primary readouts for this experiment: The exclusive (Exc.) column counts those species identified in all four reviews. The inclusive (Inc.) column counts those species identified by any of the four authors and are t...; The BRT model was provided with a suite of open access, environmental and climatic variable 5 × 5 km resolution grids, relevant to the ecology and bionomics of the DVS in t...; Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'.; Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'. Due to a lack of contemporary data for these species, searches were supplemented with pre....
from paperStatistical comparison
The BRT method [, ] was chosen to generate the predictive maps of each DVS distribution. In a review comparing 16 species modelling methodologies, BRT consistently performed we...; Following the same protocol described in Sinka et al. [ ], numerous model iterations were run to assess the 'optimal' mapping outputs, including assessing the buffer size surrou...; The results for each mapping trial are given in Additional file (Additional file: Summary tables showing evaluation statistics for all mapping trials and final BRT environmenta...; Map details: The predicted distribution of An. gambiae mapped using hybrid data (1443 occurrence data plus 500 pseudo-presences weighted at half that of the occurrence data and...
from paperReporting output
Report representative outputs alongside summary comparisons for The exclusive (Exc.) column counts those species identified in all four reviews. The inclusive (Inc.) column counts those species identified by any of the four authors and are t..., The BRT model was provided with a suite of open access, environmental and climatic variable 5 × 5 km resolution grids, relevant to the ecology and bionomics of the DVS in t..., Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'., Filter terms were: 'behaviour', 'behavior', 'larva', 'biting', 'resting' and 'habitat'. Due to a lack of contemporary data for these species, searches were supplemented with pre....
inferred from protocolStructured statistical methods
The BRT method [, ] was chosen to generate the predictive maps of each DVS distribution. In a review comparing 16 species modelling methodologies, BRT consistently performed we...; Following the same protocol described in Sinka et al. [ ], numerous model iterations were run to assess the 'optimal' mapping outputs, including assessing the buffer size surrou...; The results for each mapping trial are given in Additional file (Additional file: Summary tables showing evaluation statistics for all mapping trials and final BRT environmenta...; Map details: The predicted distribution of An. gambiae mapped using hybrid data (1443 occurrence data plus 500 pseudo-presences weighted at half that of the occurrence data and...
source structuredSource and audit
What supports the facts on this page?
Evidence quotes (7)
The exclusive (Exc.) column counts those species identified in all four reviews. The inclusive (Inc.) column counts those species identified by any of the four authors and are the candidate DVS considered for mapping. The numbers given in each of the review author columns record in which Macdonald's malaria epidemiology zones the species can be found: 4 - North Eurasian; 5 - Mediterranean; 6 - Afro-Arabian 320. The final DVS species listed were defined during two separate Technical Advisory Group (TAG) meetings. EO = Expert Opinion.
The BRT model was provided with a suite of open access, environmental and climatic variable 5 × 5 km resolution grids, relevant to the ecology and bionomics of the DVS in the African, European and Middle Eastern regions. Each grid has undergone a series of processing steps to ensure all land and sea pixels exactly correspond, and, using nearest neighbour interpolation, to fill in any small gaps in the data due to, for example, cloud cover (see Sinka et al. [ ]). Where the remotely sensed imagery was available as multi-temporal data, temporal Fourier analysis (TFA) was applied to ordinate the data, generating seven products for each temporal variable: the overall mean, maximum and minimum of the data cycles; the amplitude (maximum variation of the cycle around the mean) and the phase (the timing of the cycle) of the annual and bi-annual cycles [ ]. The environmental/climatic variables applied to the BRT model included a digital elevation model (DEM) [ - ], precipitation and temperature [, ], land surface temperature (LST), middle infrared radiation (MIR) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) [ - ]), and 22 in...
Precipitation, in one form or another, is identified repeatedly in previous models (where these data are presented, Table ) as an influential variable in predicting the range of An. gambiae. Within the top five contributing covariates from the suite applied to the BRT model, precipitation was identified three times, with mean precipitation as the highest contributor with a relative influence of over 37%. Maximum precipitation was placed second (19.42%) with the amplitude of the bi-annual cycle of precipitation ranked forth (8.85%). In common with the Maxent niche model presented by Moffett et al. [ ], elevation (altitude) and minimum land surface temperature were also identified by the BRT model within the top five influencing climatic/environmental variables (relative influence of 12.36% and 5.68%, respectively).
Anopheles melas is commonly associated with brackish water and can utilise saline environments that other species, for example, An. gambiae, cannot tolerate [, ], yet does not appear to require brackish water for larval stage development [ - ]. It is generally restricted to coastal areas [ - ] but has been found up to 150 km inland along the Gambia River, where salt water can intrude great distances (up to 180 km) upriver [,, ]. Unlike other African DVS, the density fluctuations of An. melas are closely associated with tidal changes rather than seasons, for example, Gelfand [ ] identified a peak in adult numbers 11 days after spring tides. The larvae of this species are associated with salt marsh grass ( Paspalum spp.) and mangroves, but only trees of the genus Avicenna, which include white, grey and black mangrove, and not those from the genus Rhizophora ('true' or red mangrove spp.) [,,, ]. These positive and negative associations with mangroves are thought to be strongly influenced by the predominant soil type associated with the different tree genera. Anopheles melas preferentially oviposits on damp ground at low tide, rather than in open water, where the eggs are ab...
Despite similarity in larval site characteristics, An. labranchiae and An. atroparvus do not, or only have limited, overlap in their distributions [ ]. This lack of sympatry may be simply a factor of temperature, with An. labranchiae making use of warmer waters than typical of An. atroparvus [, ]. However, when Capinha et al. [ ] modelled the habitat suitability of An. atroparvus across Portugal, they concluded that the most suitable locations include drier areas with higher temperatures (i.e. conditions where An. labranchiae typically dominate), whereas wetter areas with milder temperatures, where An. atroparvus are mostly found, were unsuitable. They concluded that An. atroparvus is not found in many other 'suitable' Mediterranean areas due to competitive exclusion. Conversely, de Zulueta [ ] suggested that the absence of An. atroparvus in Sardinia allowed the wide distribution of An. labranchiae on the island, where, despite a five-year eradication campaign instigated in 1946, An. labranchiae still occurs [, ].
AUC: Area Under the operating characteristic Curve; AVHRR: Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer; BRT: Boosted Regression Trees; COI: (mitochondrial) Cytochrome Oxidase 1; DEM: Digital Elevation Model; DVS: Dominant Vector Species; EO: Expert Opinion; EVI: Enhanced Vegetation Index; GIS: Geographic Information System; IRS: Insecticide Residual Spraying; ITNs: Insecticide Treated Bednets; ITS2: Internal Transcribed Spacer 2; IVCC: Innovative Vector Control Consortium; LST: Land Surface Temperature; MAP: Malaria Atlas Project; MIR: Middle Infrared Radiation; MODIS: MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer; NDVI: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index; PCR: Polymerase Chain Reaction; TAG: Technical Advisory Group; TFA: Temporal Fourier Analysis; WRBU: Walter Reed Biosystematics Unit.
We wish to thank Rosalind Howes, Edward Haynes, Philip Mbithi, Owen Yang, Carolynn Tago, and Elisabeth Thiveyrat for primary data abstraction. We also thank the Technical Advisory Group for extended support over the duration of the project (in addition to co-authors Michael Bangs, Sylvie Manguin, Maureen Coetzee, Ralph Harbach, Janet Hemingway and Charles M. Mbogo, these include, Theeraphap Chareonviriyaphap and Yasmin Rubio-Palis). MES is funded by a project grant from the Wellcome Trust (#083534) to SIH. SIH is funded by a Senior Research Fellowship from the Wellcome Trust (#079091) which also supports CWK and PWG. APP and WHT are funded by a Wellcome Trust Principal Research Fellowship (#079080) to Professor Robert Snow. This work forms part of the output of the Malaria Atlas Project (MAP, http://www.map.ox.ac.uk ), principally funded by the Wellcome Trust, U.K.
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